Investigating the Relationship Between Terms of Trade Shocks and Private Savings in Iran

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MOHAMMADZADEH AZAM

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES Year:2018 | Volume:6 | Issue:3 (23) Page(s): 414-432

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Investigating the Relationship Between Terms of Trade Shocks and Private Savings in Iran

Author(s)

MOHAMMADZADEH AZAM | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Private savings per capitaQ1

Trade shocksQ1

Terms of tradeQ1

GMM methodQ1

Abstract

Investigation of factors affecting the savings is one of the important issues in developed and the developing countries in recent studies. The main purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between Trade shocks and Private savings per capita in Iran between 1963 and 2015. In this regard, the models were estimated using the GMM and OLS methods. In order to enter Trade shocks in the model, standard Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter was used. This filter separates Trade shocks (in terms of permanent and temporary shocks) and analyze their effects on per capita private savings. The results of the model estimation show that savings in previous period and Trade shocks had a significant effect on savings so that they explained 78% of variance in savings. The estimation results suggest that the Trade shocks have positive effect on savings, but trade fluctuations has a negative effect on savings. Temporary shocks have a greater effect on the savings compared to permanent shocks.

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APA: Copy

MOHAMMADZADEH, AZAM. (2018). Investigating the Relationship Between Terms of Trade Shocks and Private Savings in Iran. JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES, 6(3 (23) ), 414-432. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/414403/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOHAMMADZADEH AZAM. Investigating the Relationship Between Terms of Trade Shocks and Private Savings in Iran. JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES[Internet]. 2018;6(3 (23) ):414-432. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/414403/en

IEEE: Copy

AZAM MOHAMMADZADEH, “Investigating the Relationship Between Terms of Trade Shocks and Private Savings in Iran,” JOURNAL OF THE MARCO AND STRATEGIC POLICIES, vol. 6, no. 3 (23) , pp. 414–432, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/414403/en

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