THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDEXES ON PRICE INDEX OF THE PETRO-CHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN IRAN BY USING ARDL MODEL

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ABOU NOURI E.; MOSHREFI G.

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Journal: ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW Year:2006 | Volume:6 | Issue:2 (21) Page(s): 209-228

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Title

THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDEXES ON PRICE INDEX OF THE PETRO-CHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN IRAN BY USING ARDL MODEL

Author(s)

ABOU NOURI E. | MOSHREFI G. | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

In order to estimate the price index model of petro-chemical industry, we have used the monthly time series data and the Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) model. The results indicate that a long-run relationship exists between oil price, currency rate and inflation and the price index of petro-chemical industry. Coefficient of Error Correction Term (ECT) is obtained about -0. 06. That is, any shock in a period, only 6 percent of the variation will be adjusted to the next period. Thus, next equilibrium is very slow. Among Macroeconomic variables, inflation, oilprice and currency rate have significant and positive effects on the petrochemical stock price index, respectively.

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APA: Copy

ABOU NOURI, E., & MOSHREFI, G.. (2006). THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDEXES ON PRICE INDEX OF THE PETRO-CHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN IRAN BY USING ARDL MODEL. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, 6(2 (21)), 209-228. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/67013/en

Vancouver: Copy

ABOU NOURI E., MOSHREFI G.. THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDEXES ON PRICE INDEX OF THE PETRO-CHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN IRAN BY USING ARDL MODEL. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW[Internet]. 2006;6(2 (21)):209-228. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/67013/en

IEEE: Copy

E. ABOU NOURI, and G. MOSHREFI, “THE EFFECT OF MACROECONOMIC INDEXES ON PRICE INDEX OF THE PETRO-CHEMICAL INDUSTRY IN IRAN BY USING ARDL MODEL,” ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, vol. 6, no. 2 (21), pp. 209–228, 2006, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/67013/en

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