APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING

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MOUMENI MANSOUR; ESMAEILIAN M.

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Journal: MODARRES HUMAN SCIENCES Year:2006 | Volume:10 | Issue:4 (TOM 49) Page(s): 231-251

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Title

APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING

Author(s)

MOUMENI MANSOUR | ESMAEILIAN M. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

SIMULATIONQ3

UNCERTAINTYQ3

MULTI CRITERIA DECISION MAKINGQ4

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to explain the ability of the SIMULATION methodology to consider UNCERTAINTY of the multi criteria decisions making. The rank order of decision alternatives depends on two types of UNCERTAINTY: (1) UNCERTAINTY associated with the decision making judgment regarding each element of decision matrix described by distribution function, and (2) UNCERTAINTY regarding the future characteristics of the decision making environment described by a set of scenarios. Scenario is description of the decision making environment into some separate situations. Researchers concentrate on this type of UNCERTAINTY less than other types.Both types of UNCERTAINTY are capable to opposite the rank of alternatives and decline the certainty of decision maker to the rank order of alternatives. In The present research, a SIMULATION approach for handling both types of related UNCERTAINTY was described. The final conclusions showed that when UNCERTAINTY associated with the decision making judgment regarding each element of decision matrix increases, the probability of rank reversion and rank UNCERTAINTY increases too. Under these situations, the final ranking of the alternatives is probabilistic.

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APA: Copy

MOUMENI, MANSOUR, & ESMAEILIAN, M.. (2006). APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING. MODARRES HUMAN SCIENCES, 10(4 (TOM 49)), 231-251. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/6833/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOUMENI MANSOUR, ESMAEILIAN M.. APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING. MODARRES HUMAN SCIENCES[Internet]. 2006;10(4 (TOM 49)):231-251. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/6833/en

IEEE: Copy

MANSOUR MOUMENI, and M. ESMAEILIAN, “APPLICATION OF SIMULATION IN UNCERTAINTY OF MULTICRITERIA DECISION MAKING,” MODARRES HUMAN SCIENCES, vol. 10, no. 4 (TOM 49), pp. 231–251, 2006, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/6833/en

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