International Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Trade Spillover

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Kheirandish Elham; MOSHIRI SAEED; KHIABANI NASER; Jalali Naini Ahmadreza

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Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Iranian Journal of Economic Research Year:2020 | Volume:25 | Issue:83 Page(s): 39-59

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Title

International Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Trade Spillover

Author(s)

Kheirandish Elham | MOSHIRI SAEED | KHIABANI NASER | Jalali Naini Ahmadreza | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Oil Shocks

Economic Growth

International Trade

Panel VAR

Spillover

Abstract

Oil price shocks have direct and indirect impacts on the economies of oil-exporting and oil-importing countries. The direct impacts are through demand and supply channels and the indirect (Spillover) impacts are through interaction between the countries. Most studies have focused on the direct effects of the oil price shocks in a specific country or a region and research works on indirect impacts are limited. In this research, the direct and indirect effects (Spillover) of Oil Shocks on both groups of oil-exporting and oil-importing countries are estimated using a dynamic system model. The Spillover effects are defined and measured by the “ Trade Ratio” and “ Weighted Average Economic Growth” indicators. The sample includes 30 oil-exporting and oil-importing countries with a share of 73 percent of the world’ s economy. The results show that a positive oil price shock reduces Economic Growth in oil-importing countries and increases it in oil-exporting countries, but International Trade between the oil-exporting and oil-importing countries mitigates the impact of Oil Shocks on Economic Growth of both groups.

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APA: Copy

Kheirandish, Elham, MOSHIRI, SAEED, KHIABANI, NASER, & Jalali Naini, Ahmadreza. (2020). International Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Trade Spillover. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, 25(83 ), 39-59. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/692174/en

Vancouver: Copy

Kheirandish Elham, MOSHIRI SAEED, KHIABANI NASER, Jalali Naini Ahmadreza. International Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Trade Spillover. IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH[Internet]. 2020;25(83 ):39-59. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/692174/en

IEEE: Copy

Elham Kheirandish, SAEED MOSHIRI, NASER KHIABANI, and Ahmadreza Jalali Naini, “International Effects of Oil Price Shocks and Trade Spillover,” IRANIAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH, vol. 25, no. 83 , pp. 39–59, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/692174/en

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