TERMS OF TRADE VOLATILITY, EXPORT INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED MENA COUNTRIES

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ATRKAR ROSHAN SEDIGHEH; SHIRINBAKHSH SHAMSOLAH; MENHAJI SABA

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Title

TERMS OF TRADE VOLATILITY, EXPORT INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED MENA COUNTRIES

Author(s)

ATRKAR ROSHAN SEDIGHEH | SHIRINBAKHSH SHAMSOLAH | MENHAJI SABA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

TERMS OF TRADEQ1

MENA COUNTRIESQ1

EXPORT INSTABILITYQ1

VECMQ1

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to investigate the impact of the TERMS OF TRADE volatility and EXPORT INSTABILITY on economic growth of Iran and a number of selected Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries separately.In this study, the Johan sen Juselius cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), have been used to examine the relationship between long-term and short-term term effects of trade volatility, EXPORT INSTABILITY and investments, on economic growth during the period of 1359 to 1392 (2013-1980).The estimation results demonstrate that in the long term, fluctuations in the TERMS OF TRADE has a negative and significant impact on economic growth of Iran, Morocco, while its impact on economic growth of Jordan is less significant. The export instabil ity has also significant negative effect on economic growth of Iran and Morocco and significant positive effect on economic growth in Jordan. The results of Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) for Iran also represent small and insignificant coefficients in the short term. Although in the two countries of Morocco and Jordan, the coefficient indicates that GDP adjusts slowly towards the long-run equilibrium.

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APA: Copy

ATRKAR ROSHAN, SEDIGHEH, SHIRINBAKHSH, SHAMSOLAH, & MENHAJI, SABA. (2016). TERMS OF TRADE VOLATILITY, EXPORT INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED MENA COUNTRIES. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), 20(80 ), 1-21. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/7112/en

Vancouver: Copy

ATRKAR ROSHAN SEDIGHEH, SHIRINBAKHSH SHAMSOLAH, MENHAJI SABA. TERMS OF TRADE VOLATILITY, EXPORT INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED MENA COUNTRIES. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS)[Internet]. 2016;20(80 ):1-21. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/7112/en

IEEE: Copy

SEDIGHEH ATRKAR ROSHAN, SHAMSOLAH SHIRINBAKHSH, and SABA MENHAJI, “TERMS OF TRADE VOLATILITY, EXPORT INSTABILITY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN SELECTED MENA COUNTRIES,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), vol. 20, no. 80 , pp. 1–21, 2016, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/7112/en

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