Reviewing Iran’ s Economic Convergence with Russia in CIS and The Marshall– Lerner Condition

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molaepour mansour; lotfalipour mohamad reza; MAHDAVI ADELI MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN

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Journal: Iranian Journal of Trade Studies Year:2018 | Volume:22 | Issue:88 Page(s): 1-45

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Title

Reviewing Iran’ s Economic Convergence with Russia in CIS and The Marshall– Lerner Condition

Author(s)

molaepour mansour | lotfalipour mohamad reza | MAHDAVI ADELI MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Regional IntegrationQ2

Economic ConvergenceQ1

Gravity ModelQ2

Deficit Balance of TradeQ1

Marshall Lerner ConditionQ1

Abstract

Convergence with regional powers such as Russia, which has a common water border with Iran, as well as the population of 300 million in the CIS region, is a step toward the realization of what is meant by constructive and effective interaction with the world. The present study is based on the analysis of the factors affecting the Economic Convergence of Iran with Russia in the CIS region, based on the Panel Data approach during the period 1992-2015. Trade, production, population, and distance are the key variables of Iran’ s Gravity Model with Russia in CIS region. The regression equation indicates the significance of the Gravity Model. Coefficients (elasticity) of the three independent variables including production, distance and Linder are 3. 45,-3. 25 and-0. 38 respectively, which demonstrates the high sensitivity of the two variables of production, distance, and their significance but the dummy variable of the common water boundary isn’ t significant due to the overcoming of the Azerbaijan’ s dryland boundary. The elasticity of the foreign exchange demand for exports and imports between Russia and Iran are inelastic and equal to-0. 22 and-0. 28 respectively. The Marshall– Lerner condition refers to the condition that an exchange rate devaluation will only cause a balance of trade improvement if the absolute sum of the export and import demand elasticities is greater than unity, so the change in the exchange rate has no effect on the improvement of Iran's balance of trade.

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APA: Copy

molaepour, mansour, lotfalipour, mohamad reza, & MAHDAVI ADELI, MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN. (2018). Reviewing Iran’ s Economic Convergence with Russia in CIS and The Marshall– Lerner Condition. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), 22(88 ), 1-45. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/7220/en

Vancouver: Copy

molaepour mansour, lotfalipour mohamad reza, MAHDAVI ADELI MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN. Reviewing Iran’ s Economic Convergence with Russia in CIS and The Marshall– Lerner Condition. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS)[Internet]. 2018;22(88 ):1-45. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/7220/en

IEEE: Copy

mansour molaepour, mohamad reza lotfalipour, and MOHAMMAD HOSSEIN MAHDAVI ADELI, “Reviewing Iran’ s Economic Convergence with Russia in CIS and The Marshall– Lerner Condition,” IRANIAN JOURNAL OF TRADE STUDIES (IJTS), vol. 22, no. 88 , pp. 1–45, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/7220/en

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