THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT INSTABILITY ON INDUSTRIAL GROWTH (A CASE STUDY OF IRAN)

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MOHSENI R.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

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Journal: KNOWLEDGE AND DEVELOPMENT Year:2005 | Volume:- | Issue:17 Page(s): 87-122

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Title

THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT INSTABILITY ON INDUSTRIAL GROWTH (A CASE STUDY OF IRAN)

Author(s)

MOHSENI R. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

EXPORT INSTABILITYQ4

INDUSTRIAL GROWTHQ4

COINTEGRATION SYSTEMQ4

VECTOR ERROR CORRECTION MODELQ4

Abstract

Since Iran has a high share of agricultural products in non-oil export, and a small share of international trade, and depends much on oil-incomes; in case our country faces unexpected and transient instability, this leads to a decline in its competitive power in export. On this basis, in this article, the impact of instability in export earnings on the industry and mining sector is analyzed during the period of 1971-2003 using Feder model (1982). This study is different from others for three reasons. First, in most studies this relationship is dealt with on aggregate model, so the correct relations are not identified. Second, almost in all previous studies, cross-sectional data are analyzed. Third, to avoid spurious regression, time-series econometrics approach, Johansen co-integration system (1988), is used. Results show that instability in export earnings has not affected the value added of the industry and mining sector since, in the long run, the production growth is related to factors such as population and technological improvement which are assumed to be exogenous. Only, in the short run it has affected the value added of industry and mining sector, but its effect is negative.

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APA: Copy

MOHSENI, R.. (2005). THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT INSTABILITY ON INDUSTRIAL GROWTH (A CASE STUDY OF IRAN). KNOWLEDGE AND DEVELOPMENT, -(17), 87-122. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/75749/en

Vancouver: Copy

MOHSENI R.. THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT INSTABILITY ON INDUSTRIAL GROWTH (A CASE STUDY OF IRAN). KNOWLEDGE AND DEVELOPMENT[Internet]. 2005;-(17):87-122. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/75749/en

IEEE: Copy

R. MOHSENI, “THE EFFECTS OF EXPORT INSTABILITY ON INDUSTRIAL GROWTH (A CASE STUDY OF IRAN),” KNOWLEDGE AND DEVELOPMENT, vol. -, no. 17, pp. 87–122, 2005, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/75749/en

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