Impact of Fluctuations in Financial Markets on Oil Prices and Iran's Economic Security

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JAFARI MOHAMMAD; SHAKERI ABBAS; MOHAMMADI TEIMOUR

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Paper Information

Journal: STRATEGIC STUDIES QUARTERLY Year:2018 | Volume:21 | Issue:2 (80) Page(s): 101-133

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Information Journal Paper

Title

Impact of Fluctuations in Financial Markets on Oil Prices and Iran's Economic Security

Author(s)

JAFARI MOHAMMAD | SHAKERI ABBAS | MOHAMMADI TEIMOUR | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Crude Oil Futures MarketQ1

Price ShocksQ1

Vector AutoregressionQ1

Economic securityQ1

Sustainable GrowthQ1

Abstract

Using a Vector Autoregression model, this study aims to explore the impact of financial markets on crude oil prices and Iran's Economic security. The results of analysis of variance indicate that financial transactions markets, particularly the Brent futures market, have the greatest impact on the physical crude oil market. In addition, the results of action-reaction functions suggest that shocks in financial markets have different impacts on crude oil prices, meaning a shock in the Brent futures market creates a positive shock to crude oil prices and a shock resulting from the dollar-price index produces a negative shock to oil prices. Due to the heavy reliance of the Iranian government's budget on oil revenues, fluctuations in financial markets lead to fluctuations in many of the country's economic indexes and negatively affect national security.

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APA: Copy

JAFARI, MOHAMMAD, SHAKERI, ABBAS, & MOHAMMADI, TEIMOUR. (2018). Impact of Fluctuations in Financial Markets on Oil Prices and Iran's Economic Security. STRATEGIC STUDIES QUARTERLY, 21(2 (80) ), 101-133. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/92709/en

Vancouver: Copy

JAFARI MOHAMMAD, SHAKERI ABBAS, MOHAMMADI TEIMOUR. Impact of Fluctuations in Financial Markets on Oil Prices and Iran's Economic Security. STRATEGIC STUDIES QUARTERLY[Internet]. 2018;21(2 (80) ):101-133. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/92709/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHAMMAD JAFARI, ABBAS SHAKERI, and TEIMOUR MOHAMMADI, “Impact of Fluctuations in Financial Markets on Oil Prices and Iran's Economic Security,” STRATEGIC STUDIES QUARTERLY, vol. 21, no. 2 (80) , pp. 101–133, 2018, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/92709/en

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