Mortality Prediction in Multiple Trauma Patients Using GAP, RTS and NTS Models

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AMINI KEYVAN; Abolghasemi Fakhri Soheila; Salehi Haniyeh; EBRAHIMI BAKHTAVAR HANIYEH; RAHMANI FARZAD

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Journal Paper

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Journal: TRAUMA MONTHLY Year:2021 | Volume:26 | Issue:5 Page(s): 252-257

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Title

Mortality Prediction in Multiple Trauma Patients Using GAP, RTS and NTS Models

Author(s)

Keywords

Outcome

Mortality

Multiple trauma

Emergency ward

Abstract

Introduction: There are several models to predict the prognosis of trauma patients. The present study aimed to evaluate age, systolic blood pressure (GAP), revised trauma score (RTS), and new trauma score (NTS) to predict Mortality rate in Multiple trauma patients referring to Imam Reza Hospital, Tabriz, Iran. Methods: The present descriptive-analytical study was carried out on 544 Multiple trauma patients from July 2018 to Aug 2019. GAP, RTS, and NTS models were adopted to collect data on the variables. The GAP, RTS, and NTS scores were calculated, and their relationship with hospital Outcome was then assessed. Result: In total, 31 patients out of the selected sample died during the study. The cut-off point (sensitivity and specificity) of RTS, NTS, and GAP models for hospital survival rates was equal to 6. 07 (0. 97 and 0. 98), 5. 59 (0. 94 and 0. 99), and 15. 5 (0. 97 and 0. 97), respectively. A logistic regression test was run to determine the effects of GCS, GAP, RTS, and NTS models. The results showed that the RTS and NTS scores had the highest value in determining the chances of survival, with the respective odds ratios (OR) of 13. 74 and 10. 207. Conclusion: Considering the high sensitivity and specificity of RTS, GAP, and NTS models in determining patient survival rates, these models have good predictive value in determining hospital Outcomes. The effect of these models on the patient Outcome based on OR values, RTS and NTS models showed high values.

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APA: Copy

AMINI, KEYVAN, Abolghasemi Fakhri, Soheila, Salehi, Haniyeh, EBRAHIMI BAKHTAVAR, HANIYEH, & RAHMANI, FARZAD. (2021). Mortality Prediction in Multiple Trauma Patients Using GAP, RTS and NTS Models. TRAUMA MONTHLY, 26(5), 252-257. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/993271/en

Vancouver: Copy

AMINI KEYVAN, Abolghasemi Fakhri Soheila, Salehi Haniyeh, EBRAHIMI BAKHTAVAR HANIYEH, RAHMANI FARZAD. Mortality Prediction in Multiple Trauma Patients Using GAP, RTS and NTS Models. TRAUMA MONTHLY[Internet]. 2021;26(5):252-257. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/993271/en

IEEE: Copy

KEYVAN AMINI, Soheila Abolghasemi Fakhri, Haniyeh Salehi, HANIYEH EBRAHIMI BAKHTAVAR, and FARZAD RAHMANI, “Mortality Prediction in Multiple Trauma Patients Using GAP, RTS and NTS Models,” TRAUMA MONTHLY, vol. 26, no. 5, pp. 252–257, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/993271/en

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