AN EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON EXPORTS OF VARIOUS GROUPS OF EXPORTABLE GOODS USING FUZZY LOGIC

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

ZOU ALFAGHARI MAHDI; SHIRAZI MARYAM; GHAFARNEZHAD MEHRBAN A.

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW Year:2010 | Volume:7 | Issue:24 Page(s): 147-170

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

1,325

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

AN EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON EXPORTS OF VARIOUS GROUPS OF EXPORTABLE GOODS USING FUZZY LOGIC

Author(s)

ZOU ALFAGHARI MAHDI | SHIRAZI MARYAM | GHAFARNEZHAD MEHRBAN A. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

GLOBAL ECONOMIC CRISISQ3

NON OIL EXPORTSQ3

INCOME OF TRADING PARTNERSQ3

FUZZY LOGICQ2

Abstract

Even though Iran was spared major impact from the global financial crisis at the outset, due to the particular situation of its financial sector, the crisis can still impact the economy through the medium of exports of goods.This research studies the impact of the change in the income of Iran's main trading partners on exports of various groups of commodities. Given the high versatility of FUZZY LOGIC models in forecasting the behavior of economic systems, we use such a model in our research. We clarify the export commodities into 8 groups and Iran's main trading partners into 11 groups. We use the change of GDP of main trading partners as an input in the model and changes in exports of various commodity groups as outputs.We develop and test the model using data for the period of 1370-1387. The test results had a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.074 and R2 of 99.06%. The results indicate differential response of various commodity groups to changes in GDP of trading partners. Some commodity groups are more adversely affected by the change in of trading partners, while others were partially affected.

Cites

No record.

References

Cite

APA: Copy

ZOU ALFAGHARI, MAHDI, SHIRAZI, MARYAM, & GHAFARNEZHAD MEHRBAN, A.. (2010). AN EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON EXPORTS OF VARIOUS GROUPS OF EXPORTABLE GOODS USING FUZZY LOGIC. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, 7(24), 147-170. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/99635/en

Vancouver: Copy

ZOU ALFAGHARI MAHDI, SHIRAZI MARYAM, GHAFARNEZHAD MEHRBAN A.. AN EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON EXPORTS OF VARIOUS GROUPS OF EXPORTABLE GOODS USING FUZZY LOGIC. ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW[Internet]. 2010;7(24):147-170. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/99635/en

IEEE: Copy

MAHDI ZOU ALFAGHARI, MARYAM SHIRAZI, and A. GHAFARNEZHAD MEHRBAN, “AN EVALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ON EXPORTS OF VARIOUS GROUPS OF EXPORTABLE GOODS USING FUZZY LOGIC,” ENERGY ECONOMICS REVIEW, vol. 7, no. 24, pp. 147–170, 2010, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/99635/en

Related Journal Papers