AN ANALISIS OF LEADING INDICATORS FOR THE IRANS ECONOMY

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JAHANGARD ESFANDIAR; FARHADIKIA ALIREZA

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Journal: Financial Economics Year:2008 | Volume:1 | Issue:2 Page(s): 57-74

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Information Journal Paper

Title

AN ANALISIS OF LEADING INDICATORS FOR THE IRANS ECONOMY

Author(s)

JAHANGARD ESFANDIAR | FARHADIKIA ALIREZA | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORSQ3

BUSINESS CYCLEQ3

FORECASTINGQ2

IRANQ2

Abstract

Effectively predicting cyclical movements in the economy is a major challenge. In this paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for IRANian economy. Our evaluation is based on using the annual and seasonal variables trend. For this purpose, we introduce a model based on NBER approach to estimate LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS covering the period 1367: Q1-1386: Q4.We apply ARMA models for the FORECASTING of LEADING AND COINCIDENT INDICATORS for the period 1387: Q1-1388Q4.The FORECASTING results show that the will be decline of leading and coincident macroeconomic indicators in 1387 in IRAN economy.

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APA: Copy

JAHANGARD, ESFANDIAR, & FARHADIKIA, ALIREZA. (2008). AN ANALISIS OF LEADING INDICATORS FOR THE IRANS ECONOMY. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), 1(2), 57-74. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/229297/en

Vancouver: Copy

JAHANGARD ESFANDIAR, FARHADIKIA ALIREZA. AN ANALISIS OF LEADING INDICATORS FOR THE IRANS ECONOMY. JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT)[Internet]. 2008;1(2):57-74. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/229297/en

IEEE: Copy

ESFANDIAR JAHANGARD, and ALIREZA FARHADIKIA, “AN ANALISIS OF LEADING INDICATORS FOR THE IRANS ECONOMY,” JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS (FINANCIAL ECONOMICS AND DEVELOPMENT), vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 57–74, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/229297/en

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