A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF SEASONAL CHANGES IN FUTURE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF IRAN DURING THE WARM PERIOD BASED ON GCM MODELS

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

ABBASNIA MOHSEN; TAVOUSI TAGHI; KHOSRAVI MAHMOOD

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Geographical Planning of Space Year:2017 | Volume:7 | Issue:25 Page(s): 121-134

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

928

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF SEASONAL CHANGES IN FUTURE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF IRAN DURING THE WARM PERIOD BASED ON GCM MODELS

Author(s)

ABBASNIA MOHSEN | TAVOUSI TAGHI | KHOSRAVI MAHMOOD | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE CHANGESQ1

STATISTICAL DOWNSCALINGQ1

SDSM MODELQ1

UNCERTAINTY ANALYSISQ1

IRANQ2

Abstract

Assessment of climate change impacts is quite necessary in the temperature extremes. In this study, the changes in maximum temperature of IRAN were comparatively examined in two future periods (2041-70 and 2071-99) and based on the output of general circulation models of Hadcm3 under existing scenarios (A2 and B2) than the base period (1981-2010). Also, in the field of UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS in occurrences prediction of future maximum temperature, the outputs of two general circulation models of Hadcm3 and CGCM3 under all existing scenarios (A2, A1B, B1 and B2) were carried out for comparison examination onto the results of the 7 representative climatic stations of IRAN.For this purpose, after examining the ability of statistical model of SDSM in simulation of base period (2010-1981), the daily future values of maximum temperature were downscaled in the studied stations scales.The results of spatial distribution of maximum temperature showed that in the future decades, mountainous areas and high lands located in northern areas of IRAN, during spring, and the central areas of IRAN, during summer, will experience the greatest increase in temperature. This is while; during both seasons of warm period of the year the areas adjacent to the southern coasts of IRAN will experience the lowest temperature increase. Meanwhile, the largest increase in maximum future temperature for spring and summer in compare to base period are estimated according to A2 scenario about (2-4 degrees Celsius) and according to B2 scenario about (1-2oCg), respectively.In uncertainties analysis related to model-scenarios, it was found that CGCM3 model under scenario B1 had the best performance in the simulation of future maximum temperatures among different scenario-models. Also, the increase in maximum temperature has been more severe based on various scenarios of Hadcm3 model than the CGCM3 model.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

ABBASNIA, MOHSEN, TAVOUSI, TAGHI, & KHOSRAVI, MAHMOOD. (2017). A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF SEASONAL CHANGES IN FUTURE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF IRAN DURING THE WARM PERIOD BASED ON GCM MODELS. GEOGRAPHICAL PLANING OF SPACE, 7(25 ), 121-134. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/250984/en

Vancouver: Copy

ABBASNIA MOHSEN, TAVOUSI TAGHI, KHOSRAVI MAHMOOD. A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF SEASONAL CHANGES IN FUTURE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF IRAN DURING THE WARM PERIOD BASED ON GCM MODELS. GEOGRAPHICAL PLANING OF SPACE[Internet]. 2017;7(25 ):121-134. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/250984/en

IEEE: Copy

MOHSEN ABBASNIA, TAGHI TAVOUSI, and MAHMOOD KHOSRAVI, “A COMPREHENSIVE ASSESSMENT OF SEASONAL CHANGES IN FUTURE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF IRAN DURING THE WARM PERIOD BASED ON GCM MODELS,” GEOGRAPHICAL PLANING OF SPACE, vol. 7, no. 25 , pp. 121–134, 2017, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/250984/en

Related Journal Papers