A SURVEY ON THE SHARE OF TERMS OF TRADE CHANGES ON THE EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY IN IRAN'S ECONOMY

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TAGHAVI MAHDI; KAHRAM A.; SALATIN PARVANEH

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Journal: ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW Year:2008 | Volume:7 | Issue:4 (27) Page(s): 15-50

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Title

A SURVEY ON THE SHARE OF TERMS OF TRADE CHANGES ON THE EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY IN IRAN'S ECONOMY

Author(s)

TAGHAVI MAHDI | KAHRAM A. | SALATIN PARVANEH | Issue Writer Certificate

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Abstract

The terms of trade is one of the important tools for the macroeconomic analysis and the most principle issue in this analysis is a dual relationship between the terms of trade and the exchange rate. The changes in the relative prices are the consequent of the fluctuations in the terms of trade and exchange rate.This paper focuses on the short-run and long-run effects of the terms of trade on the exchange rate in Iran's economy during 1959-2004,by using the: ARDL(Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag Model), VECM(Vector Error Correction Model)and the impulse response function of VAR(Vector Auto-Regressive).The results show that although there is a relationship between the terms of trade and exchange rate but the impact of the terms of trade shocks on the exchange rate fluctuation is petty and the main changes of exchange rate in Iran is the consequent of itself.GDP has a positive effect on the terms of trade improvement and congruently the terms of trade improvement reduces inflation. The other result signifies that the terms of trade has a negative effect on the economic growth. This is the consequent of adoption of wrong economic -commercial policy.

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APA: Copy

TAGHAVI, MAHDI, KAHRAM, A., & SALATIN, PARVANEH. (2008). A SURVEY ON THE SHARE OF TERMS OF TRADE CHANGES ON THE EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY IN IRAN'S ECONOMY. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, 7(4 (27)), 15-50. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/67250/en

Vancouver: Copy

TAGHAVI MAHDI, KAHRAM A., SALATIN PARVANEH. A SURVEY ON THE SHARE OF TERMS OF TRADE CHANGES ON THE EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY IN IRAN'S ECONOMY. ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW[Internet]. 2008;7(4 (27)):15-50. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/67250/en

IEEE: Copy

MAHDI TAGHAVI, A. KAHRAM, and PARVANEH SALATIN, “A SURVEY ON THE SHARE OF TERMS OF TRADE CHANGES ON THE EXCHANGE RATE UNCERTAINTY IN IRAN'S ECONOMY,” ECONOMIC RESEARCH REVIEW, vol. 7, no. 4 (27), pp. 15–50, 2008, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/67250/en

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