An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016)

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Babakhanian Masoudeh; ZARGHAMI MEHRAN; ALIPOUR ABBAS; KHOSRAVI ARDESHIR; HASHEMI NAZARI SEYED SAEED; SABERI MEHDI; GHADIRZADEH MOHAMMAD REZA

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Journal: Addiction and Health Year:2020 | Volume:12 | Issue:2 Page(s): 87-97

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Title

An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016)

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Keywords

Death

Substance-related disorders

Iran

Abstract

Background: The Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME) and the Legal Medicine Organization (LMO) are the 2 Death registration systems in Iran for registering drug-related Deaths. The aim of the present study was to assess the number of undercount and the overlap between the Deaths registered by the 2 sources. Methods: In this descriptive study, according to the 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10), the registered data on drug-related Deaths in the years 2014-2016, as recorded by the MOHME and the LMO, were collected and the number of Deaths was estimated using 2-source capturerecapture method and Excel and SPSS software. Findings: The total number of drug-related Deaths, as registered by the 2 sources, was 8639 during the 3 years. A major part of the drug-related Deaths (75% of the data) had been registered by the LMO and only 25% of Deaths had been registered by the MOHME. There was also a small overlap (7. 7% of Deaths) between the data from the 2 sources. The final estimation from the capture-recapture model and analysis of sensitivity showed that, during the 3 years, the total number of drug-related Deaths was 14517 [95% confidence interval (CI): 14498-14558]. Based on the complete overlap assumption and 50% of unidentified individuals in the 2 sources, the number of Deaths was estimated at 11341 and 12418, respectively. The largest number of drug-related Deaths had occurred within the age range of 25-39 years and in men. Kermanshah, Hamedan, and Zanjan Provinces (Iran) had the largest number of cumulative incidences of drug-related Deaths. Based on the data provided by the MOHME, the most common cause of Death was Methadone poisoning. Conclusion: There was a small overlap between the MOHME and the LMO in the registration of drug-related Deaths. Failure to enter accurate and correct information has led to miscalculations of these Deaths in Iran.

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APA: Copy

Babakhanian, Masoudeh, ZARGHAMI, MEHRAN, ALIPOUR, ABBAS, KHOSRAVI, ARDESHIR, HASHEMI NAZARI, SEYED SAEED, SABERI, MEHDI, & GHADIRZADEH, MOHAMMAD REZA. (2020). An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016). ADDICTION AND HEALTH, 12(2 ), 87-97. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/709648/en

Vancouver: Copy

Babakhanian Masoudeh, ZARGHAMI MEHRAN, ALIPOUR ABBAS, KHOSRAVI ARDESHIR, HASHEMI NAZARI SEYED SAEED, SABERI MEHDI, GHADIRZADEH MOHAMMAD REZA. An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016). ADDICTION AND HEALTH[Internet]. 2020;12(2 ):87-97. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/709648/en

IEEE: Copy

Masoudeh Babakhanian, MEHRAN ZARGHAMI, ABBAS ALIPOUR, ARDESHIR KHOSRAVI, SEYED SAEED HASHEMI NAZARI, MEHDI SABERI, and MOHAMMAD REZA GHADIRZADEH, “An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016),” ADDICTION AND HEALTH, vol. 12, no. 2 , pp. 87–97, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/709648/en

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