Investigating the Causality Relationship between the Development of Road Transport and Accidents in the Country

Q: How can I download an article?

To download an article from SID, first log in to the site, search for the article title, and click on the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I download an ISI article?

To download an ISI article on SID, enter the keyword or article title in the search bar, view the relevant results, click on the desired article, and select the 'Download Article' option.

Q: How can I access the SID database?

To access the SID database, visit SID.ir, create an account, and log in to access scientific resources.

Q: Is downloading articles from SID free?

Some articles on SID are available for free, while others require payment. Details are specified on the article's page.

Bazdar Ardabily Parisa; Pejmanzad Payman

مرکز اطلاعات علمی Scientific Information Database (SID) - Trusted Source for Research and Academic Resources

Journal Paper

Paper Information

Journal: Journal of Safety Promotion and Injury Prevention Year:2021 | Volume:8 | Issue:4 Page(s): 238-246

Download Full-Text

Persian Verion

View:

155

Download:

Cites:

Information Journal Paper

Title

Investigating the Causality Relationship between the Development of Road Transport and Accidents in the Country

Author(s)

Bazdar Ardabily Parisa | Pejmanzad Payman | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

Road Transport Development

Road Accidents

Vector Auto regression

Granger Causality

Abstract

Background and Objectives: Road Accidents and their consequences are a vital issue internationally, in the developed and developing countries. The objective of this article was to investigate the causality relationship between the development of road transport and accidents in Iran during 1996-1998. Materials and Methods: First, the research method and statistical data used were examined, and then the generalized Dickey-Fuller unit root test was used to evaluate the durability of the variables. Then, to determine the long-run relationship between the variables, the co-integration test was used. Granger Causality test was also used to determine the short-term relationship between variables. In the last step, we calculate the residuals from the accumulated co-regression and obtain the short-term parameters by estimating the ECM. Results: The results of the Granger Causality test in the framework of VAR and VEC show that in the short and long term there is a relationship between value-added growth of road transport, growth of cargo, and passenger growth with the growth of accidents. This relationship was one-way. The causal relationship between the valueadded growth of the road transport sector, the growth of cargo transportation and passenger growth to the growth of accidents in this sector is significant at the level of 5%. This means that the growth of value-added in the road transport sector, the growth of cargo, and the growth of passenger transport cause the growth of accidents in the country's road transport sector. Conclusion: The results indicated that there is a long-term relationship between value-added growth of road transport sector, growth of cargo and passenger growth with the growth of accidents in the country. The effect of value-added of road transport sector, growth of cargo and passenger growth on the growth of accidents is positive. The results of the Granger Causality test in the short term indicated the existence of a one-way causal relationship between the value-added of the road transport sector, cargo, and passenger. And, they correlated with the increase in accidents in this sector. However, a two-way causal relationship between these variables was not observed. The results of the error correction model confirm the results of the Granger Causality test.

Cites

No record.

References

No record.

Cite

APA: Copy

Bazdar Ardabily, Parisa, & Pejmanzad, Payman. (2021). Investigating the Causality Relationship between the Development of Road Transport and Accidents in the Country. JOURNAL OF SAFETY PROMOTION AND INJURY PREVENTION, 8(4 ), 238-246. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/962975/en

Vancouver: Copy

Bazdar Ardabily Parisa, Pejmanzad Payman. Investigating the Causality Relationship between the Development of Road Transport and Accidents in the Country. JOURNAL OF SAFETY PROMOTION AND INJURY PREVENTION[Internet]. 2021;8(4 ):238-246. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/962975/en

IEEE: Copy

Parisa Bazdar Ardabily, and Payman Pejmanzad, “Investigating the Causality Relationship between the Development of Road Transport and Accidents in the Country,” JOURNAL OF SAFETY PROMOTION AND INJURY PREVENTION, vol. 8, no. 4 , pp. 238–246, 2021, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/962975/en

Related Journal Papers

No record.

Related Seminar Papers

No record.

Related Plans

No record.

Recommended Workshops