SIMULATING AND PREDICTION OF WIND SPEED IN IRAN USING 50 YEARS STATISTICAL DATA (1961-2010)

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GHASEMI AHMAD REZA; SAYEDI FORUH SADAT

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Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL DATA Year:2015 | Volume:24 | Issue:94 Page(s): 95-105

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Information Journal Paper

Title

SIMULATING AND PREDICTION OF WIND SPEED IN IRAN USING 50 YEARS STATISTICAL DATA (1961-2010)

Author(s)

GHASEMI AHMAD REZA | SAYEDI FORUH SADAT | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

IRANQ2

WIND SPEEDQ2

SIMULATINGQ2

HOLT-WINTERSQ2

PREDICTIONQ2

Abstract

Wind is one of the main climatic parameters that can formed the climate of a region. So the temporal changes of this parameter can affect the global and rigional climate. The declining trends of surface wind reported by previous studies generally are small but, it is still important to assess the distribution of the trend of WIND SPEED at the continental to global scale in order to better understand the causes of the trend. In this study, a 50-year WIND SPEED data (1961-2010) was used to predict the WIND SPEED over 34 stations in IRAN.The results showed that the HOLT-WINTERS model can very well predict the WIND SPEED in the country. The determination of coefficient varies between 0.39 in Abadan to 0.80 in Babolsar stations. The results of Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to evaluate the normalized residuals of model showed that the model residuals are normal in most of the stations that show the suitability of the model to estimate and predict the WIND SPEED in IRAN. The results also showed that the WIND SPEED at the stations located in the western and central regions and some northern stations will decline in 2020. The station is located in the eastern half and southern Alborz will be an increasing trend. In other words we can say that, the WIND SPEED in most arid and semiarid regions of the country in the future will increase, while moderate and mountainous areas in western parts of the country will experienced a decreasing WIND SPEED.

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APA: Copy

GHASEMI, AHMAD REZA, & SAYEDI, FORUH SADAT. (2015). SIMULATING AND PREDICTION OF WIND SPEED IN IRAN USING 50 YEARS STATISTICAL DATA (1961-2010). GEOGRAPHICAL DATA, 24(94), 95-105. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/253298/en

Vancouver: Copy

GHASEMI AHMAD REZA, SAYEDI FORUH SADAT. SIMULATING AND PREDICTION OF WIND SPEED IN IRAN USING 50 YEARS STATISTICAL DATA (1961-2010). GEOGRAPHICAL DATA[Internet]. 2015;24(94):95-105. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/253298/en

IEEE: Copy

AHMAD REZA GHASEMI, and FORUH SADAT SAYEDI, “SIMULATING AND PREDICTION OF WIND SPEED IN IRAN USING 50 YEARS STATISTICAL DATA (1961-2010),” GEOGRAPHICAL DATA, vol. 24, no. 94, pp. 95–105, 2015, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/253298/en

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