PREDICTION OF THE PROBABILY OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN
KHORASSAN PROVINCE

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ASHGAR TOUSI SH.; ALI ZADEH A.; JAVANMARD S.

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Paper Information

Journal: GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH Year:2003 | Volume:18 | Issue:3(70) Page(s): 119-128

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Information Journal Paper

Title

PREDICTION OF THE PROBABILY OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN KHORASSAN PROVINCE

Author(s)

ASHGAR TOUSI SH. | ALI ZADEH A. | JAVANMARD S. | Issue Writer Certificate

Keywords

DROUGHTQ2

MARKOFF CHAINQ2

PROBABILITY MATRICESQ2

EQUALITY MATRICES.Q4

Abstract

Khorassan province is in a dry part of Iran. Frequent DROUGHTs, especially during recent
years, have shown that DROUGHT is a very significant phenomenon which must be considered
in any development program. For this purpose, rainfall data of 11 synoptic meteorological
stations in Khorasan were studied to see whether DROUGHT is possible to be predicted. First
order MARKOFF CHAIN model was used in this study. For each station, the probability of being
in a wet, normal, or dry condition in the year 2004 was derived. Based on this study,
Khorasan province has been zonned for states of normal, wet and dry situation. Related and
appropriate map and tables have also been presented.

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کاربرد روش استوکاستیک در بررسی احتمالات تامین آب از دریاچه سد امیرکبیر

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APA: Copy

ASHGAR TOUSI, SH., ALI ZADEH, A., & JAVANMARD, S.. (2003). PREDICTION OF THE PROBABILY OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN KHORASSAN PROVINCE. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, 18(3(70)), 119-128. SID. https://sid.ir/paper/29706/en

Vancouver: Copy

ASHGAR TOUSI SH., ALI ZADEH A., JAVANMARD S.. PREDICTION OF THE PROBABILY OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN KHORASSAN PROVINCE. GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH[Internet]. 2003;18(3(70)):119-128. Available from: https://sid.ir/paper/29706/en

IEEE: Copy

SH. ASHGAR TOUSI, A. ALI ZADEH, and S. JAVANMARD, “PREDICTION OF THE PROBABILY OF DROUGHT OCCURRENCE IN KHORASSAN PROVINCE,” GEOGRAPHICAL RESEARCH, vol. 18, no. 3(70), pp. 119–128, 2003, [Online]. Available: https://sid.ir/paper/29706/en

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